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Showing posts from March, 2019

State of Turkey

Military - Defection, siege of Izmir (4.3 million) - So far, military casualties are estimated at 1800, confirmed civilian casualties stands at 12 Political - No acting central government at this time. Turkey has fragmented into four distinct factions. - CHP    - Controls Istanbul with ~80% support    - Has troops: 80,000; these are mostly located in Istanbul    - Led by Kılıçdaroğlu - AKP    - Controls central chunk of country including Ankara    - Most likely has most popular support, but unknown    - Has troops: Gendarmerie (150,000); 30,000 military forces    - Led by Yildirim (Oktay died suddenly, said to be from natural causes, but unconfirmed) - Kurds    - 240,000 troops, increasing as    - Declared as an independent state    - Led by Karayılan of the Kurdish Worker’s Party    - Likely has plenty of money due to siphoning off energy flow from oil pipelines    - Primarily seeks to be a successful independent nation - Military Defection    - Led by Güler, for

Military in Open Rebellion

Rejecting the legitimacy of acting President Fuat Oktay's claim to power, General  Yaşar Güler has lead the military in an open coup in the southwestern regions of Turkey this morning. Currently, it is believed his faction has taken control of Konya, Antalya, and is in siege with the AKP forces for control of Izmir. While it is unknown how many troops have defected with Guler, early estimates place 65% (estimated at around 400,000 active troops) of the Turkish armed forces  have aligned with him. No members of the Gendarmerie have defected. It is believed 80,000 troops are opposed to Guler's rebellion and have voiced support of the CHP. The 150,000 service members  of the Gendarmerie and an estimated 30,000 members of the military remain loyal to the AKP leadership. Soon after the news of this Guler's rebellion, acting President Oktay was reported to have died from unconfirmed natural causes. His passing was unexpected but there is no evidence of foul play at this t